Pachter: Unlikely Nintendo NX Will Release in 2016

8th December, 1 replies

Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter discussed Nintendo's upcoming console, codenamed the NX, on Siftd’s latest Pachter Factor, as transcribed by Nintendo Insider.

He was first asked when he expected the console to launch and replied saying:

"I can talk about Nintendo’s past practice, and use that as a predictor of the future. But, I don’t know. Nintendo’s past practice has been to announce their next generation consoles at E3, and to release them 18 months later. And they typically will have a prototype and a couple of game markups… where you can play something."

"But they take about 18 months, and last I checked we don’t have 18 months until the end of 2016. So, it is less likely that something is coming out in 2016. But, the rumours are that there are NX dev kits out there. We don’t know how long they have been out there, but if the rumour has leaked they have probably been out a couple of months. It is really slightly possible that developers can make something for NX console launch in fall 2016, and do a quality product in 13 – 15 months. Slightly possible."

Pachter also believes that if the architecture of the NX is similar to the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One then it is possible that the console will be announced in 2016 and released the same year. However, the further away it is from those consoles the less likely a 2016 release is:

"The more the NX looks like a PS4 or Xbox One, the more likely it is that it’s coming out in 2016. The less it looks like a PS4 or Xbox One, the less likely. If it’s a different language, it requires developers to tweak a lot of things from Madden, FIFA, Call of Duty or Grand Theft Auto in order to get it ready for NX, 13 months is probably not enough time and it’s probably a 2017 launch."

Source:

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